remains at the center of highly volatile transactions in the crypto market, continuing its search for a clear direction.
Despite a series of positive developments in the crypto space, the market remains in a bearish phase. Notably, the SEC dropping crypto-related cases, the rise in applications for altcoin ETFs, and the overall easing of regulatory pressure can be seen as significant positive events. However, these developments do not seem to have been priced in favorably.
Bitcoin Reserve Confusion Clarified—For Now
Instead, investor caution persists due to the policy stance of the Trump administration. While Trump is seen as pro-crypto, this has not instilled strong confidence in the markets. Recently, the U.S. President clarified one of his major election promises regarding the Bitcoin reserve. According to his statement, the U.S. government will retain the Bitcoins it currently holds as reserves but will not purchase additional Bitcoin.
This decision also puts to rest speculation about large altcoins being added to the reserve. While some market participants were disappointed by this announcement, Bitcoin fluctuated below $85,000. However, this decision should be considered highly positive for the Bitcoin market.
Currently, the U.S. government is known to hold approximately 183,850 BTC (valued at around $17.7 billion). These assets will now be managed under the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, following a decree signed by Trump. This is a positive development as it prevents the sale of these assets, at least in the short and medium term.
Additionally, the signing of this decree is important as it resolves the prolonged uncertainty surrounding the U.S. crypto reserves. The decision not to purchase additional BTC also reduces the risk of government-driven volatility in Bitcoin transactions. Moving forward, if Trump softens or completely removes his anti-crypto rhetoric, the market could enter a healthier phase.
Bitcoin on the Brink of a New Price Crunch
Bitcoin has been experiencing high volatility since the last week of February. In the most recent downturn, support was established around $84,000. However, as optimism returned to the market, BTC briefly surged to $94,000 before retreating once again due to global economic concerns, dropping to $81,000. Despite this, a strong buying wall has formed within the $80,000–$84,000 range.
As buyers have gradually raised their support levels, Bitcoin has been forming higher lows on daily closes. However, sellers continue to hold firm within the $90,000–$94,000 range. This ongoing tug-of-war between buyers and sellers has left Bitcoin stuck between $88,000 and $90,000.
A crypto summit will take place at the White House today, with key figures from the crypto industry in attendance. If productive discussions occur, they could provide short-term support to the market. However, Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory will depend more on broader global economic developments. Institutional investors, who have a significant influence on the market, typically base their crypto investments on overall risk appetite.
In this regard, the Federal Reserve’s , ongoing tariff disputes, and macroeconomic indicators remain the primary factors shaping Bitcoin’s market direction.
Technical Outlook for Bitcoin
Looking at Bitcoin’s short-term technical picture, the market has been attempting to recover for the past two weeks. At this stage, the $86,400 level (Fib 0.382) is a crucial support point. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, $80,250 may emerge as the next key support.
If Bitcoin successfully maintains its short-term upward trend in the coming days, it could establish stability above $90,000. In this bullish scenario, $94,000 would be the next critical resistance. A confirmed breakout above this level, supported by daily closes, could pave the way for targets at $97,400, $101,275, and $106,400 in the short term.
On the downside, losing support at $86,000 and $80,000 could trigger a deeper decline, potentially dragging Bitcoin toward $74,000 (Fib 0.618)—a level closely watched as Bitcoin’s most critical support.
***
Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only. It is not intended to encourage the purchase of assets in any way, nor does it constitute a solicitation, offer, recommendation or suggestion to invest. I would like to remind you that all assets are evaluated from multiple perspectives and are highly risky, so any investment decision and the associated risk belongs to the investor. We also do not provide any investment advisory services.
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