- Bitcoin teeters at the $100,000 threshold, with investors eyeing a potential breakout amid regulatory shifts.
- Leadership changes at the SEC and Fed spark optimism for a friendlier crypto environment.
- Key U.S. labor data this week could shape Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory.
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has entered 2025 on a quiet note, with the crypto consolidating below the critical $100K psychological level, currently trading near $96K. Investors are bracing for a decisive breakout that could ignite fresh trading momentum after weeks of sideways movement.
With Donald Trump’s inauguration less than two weeks away, key personnel shifts at the SEC and Federal Reserve hint at imminent changes to U.S. cryptocurrency regulations, sparking bullish anticipation.
Meanwhile, Friday’s looms large, as stronger-than-expected numbers could push the Fed toward a more hawkish stance, potentially dampening Bitcoin’s upward trajectory.
Crypto Advocates Take Center Stage in U.S. and Beyond
Major changes are shaking up the leadership landscape in U.S. financial institutions and government agencies, signaling a potential shift in the crypto market’s regulatory climate. Notably, Paul Atkins, a well-known advocate for digital currencies, is set to replace Gary Gensler at the SEC.
Gensler, often at odds with the crypto industry, leaves behind a contentious legacy. Similarly, the resignation of Michael Barr from the Federal Reserve, infamous for his role in Operation Chokepoint 2.0 targeting crypto businesses, has further boosted optimism among investors.
The reshuffling extends beyond the U.S. In Canada, Pierre Poilievre, a pro-crypto leader, has emerged as a strong contender to replace Justin Trudeau, potentially paving the way for friendlier cryptocurrency policies.
Across the Atlantic, Switzerland could take a historic step by holding a referendum to enshrine Bitcoin into its constitution as an official part of its financial system. Such a move would mark a significant milestone in Bitcoin’s journey toward global legitimacy as a mainstream payment method.
U.S. Labor Market Surprises Keep Fed Hawkish
Despite a rapid series of interest rate hikes, the U.S. labor market has shown remarkable resilience, with levels and growth defying expectations.
These positive indicators bolster the Fed’s case for maintaining a hawkish stance. If Friday’s labor data beats forecasts, the Fed may double down on its tightening measures, posing challenges for risk assets like Bitcoin in the short term.
Bitcoin’s Technical Picture: Key Levels to Watch
Bitcoin’s recent surge to all-time highs near $108,000 has stalled, with prices now trapped in a consolidation phase resembling a head-and-shoulders formation. The $92,000 level serves as critical local support.
A breakdown below this level, combined with a breach of the accelerated uptrend line, could open the door for a deeper correction toward $74,000. However, the broader outlook remains bullish, with long-term growth expected to resume once the market digests its current consolidation phase.
***
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Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only. It is not intended to encourage the purchase of assets in any way, nor does it constitute a solicitation, offer, recommendation or suggestion to invest. I would like to remind you that all assets are evaluated from multiple perspectives and are highly risky, so any investment decision and the associated risk belongs to the investor. We also do not provide any investment advisory services.
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