- Silver’s long-term growth outlook remains intact, but short-term volatility looms with key technical levels in play.
- The $30 support level is crucial, with the Fed’s stance influencing the immediate direction.
- Despite near-term pressure, silver’s future demand from industries like electromobility keeps long-term sentiment bullish.
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has had a tough time maintaining its year-end gains, as hawkish signals from the threaten to dampen demand.
Despite strong long-term fundamentals supporting silver’s upward trajectory, the precious metal faces a challenging short-term outlook, with key technical levels in focus.
Over the past year, the narrative around silver pricing has remained largely unchanged. Analysts and forecasts continue to point to long-term growth, driven by rising demand from industries such as electromobility, renewable energy, and defense.
With supply remaining relatively constant, this growing demand fuels optimism for silver’s future. This trend is expected to persist into 2025, keeping long-term bullish sentiment intact.
However, in the short and medium term, silver’s price remains vulnerable to market fluctuations, particularly given the liquidity conditions. Right now, the bulls are on the defensive, and all eyes are on the crucial $30 per ounce support level.
Fed’s Final Act of Volatility for 2024
As the year winds down, financial markets are entering a quieter phase, with lower volatility expected as the holiday season approaches. However, the Federal Reserve’s meeting today is set to be the last major market event of the year.
While a 25bp rate cut is , the real focus will be on the tone of the Fed’s . If Chairman Jerome Powell’s recent comments hold—indicating that the Fed won’t rush to cut rates—the short-term outlook for silver could lean bearish, putting additional pressure on prices.
A neutral stance from the Fed could lead to a consolidation in silver’s price, with the $30–$31 per ounce range likely to hold until year-end. Traders might consider positioning for a sideways trend, as a lack of clarity could prevent a decisive breakout in either direction.
Can Silver’s Long-Term Uptrend Withstand Short-Term Pressures?
Looking beyond the immediate volatility, silver remains in a long-term uptrend that has been in place since April 2020. Despite occasional pullbacks, the overall trend has been higher, with recent price action reflecting a battle around key resistance levels.
A deeper correction in silver would likely find significant support near the $30 per ounce mark, where a cluster of support levels and an upward trend line intersect. This area should provide a strong defense against further declines.
In the shorter term, silver is currently experiencing a downward impulse, and the $30 per ounce level is likely to be tested again. If this support fails to hold, the next target for sellers is the $28 per ounce region.
However, should silver manage to break through the $33.30 per ounce resistance, it could signal a reversal of the current bearish momentum, opening the door for a stronger rally.
In conclusion, while silver’s long-term prospects remain positive, the immediate outlook hinges on key support at $30 per ounce and the Federal Reserve’s final moves of the year.
***
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Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only. It is not intended to encourage the purchase of assets in any way, nor does it constitute a solicitation, offer, recommendation or suggestion to invest. I would like to remind you that all assets are evaluated from multiple perspectives and are highly risky, so any investment decision and the associated risk belongs to the investor. We also do not provide any investment advisory services.
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